Updated November 4, 2026. Data through October 31, 2026.
The short version: Sunset District house prices are up 25% over the last 12 months to a median of $2.0 million, and 90% of houses sold above asking. Condos are the bigger change: 85% sold above asking, up from 43%, and the typical one now goes under contract in 12 days.
Are Sunset District homes selling above asking price?
Yes, houses almost always do, and condos have become much more competitive. From November 2025 through October 2026, 90% of the 214 single-family houses that sold in the Sunset District closed above asking price (192 of 214), about the same as the 89% the year before. In the last three months, August through October, it was 98% (54 of 55). Among the 26 condos, 85% sold above asking, up from 43%. The typical house went under contract in 11 days and the typical condo in 12, down from 22.5.
Here's what we're seeing: house prices are up sharply and sit at the highest 12-month level in the 10 years we track, while the clearest change in condos is speed and competition. This update covers the Outer, Central and Inner Sunset, using San Francisco Association of REALTORS (SFAR) MLS sales through October 31, 2026.
What do the latest Sunset District numbers show?
Over the last 12 months, houses sold for about a quarter more than the year before, and condos sold much faster and with less negotiation. For comparison with the wider city, see our San Francisco market update.
Measure | Houses (now) | Houses (a year ago) | Condos (now) | Condos (a year ago) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Closed sales | 214 | 199 | 26 | 30 |
Sold above asking | 90% (192 of 214) | 89% (177 of 199) | 85% (22 of 26) | 43% (13 of 30) |
Median days to contract | 11 | 12 | 12 | 22.5 |
Sales that needed a price cut | 2% (5 of 214) | 5% (9 of 199) | 0% (0 of 26) | 10% (3 of 30) |
Median sale price as a share of list price | 135% | 122% | 113% | 100% |
Median price per sq ft | $1,186 | $1,068 | $1,091 | $941 |
Median sale price | $2,000,000 | $1,600,000 | $1,512,500 | $1,271,250 |
August through October 2026 versus the same months of 2025:
- Houses sold above asking: 98% (54 of 55), up from 87% (40 of 46)
- Condos sold above asking: 100% (9 of 9), up from 50% (3 of 6)
- Days to contract: 10 for houses (12 a year earlier) and 13 for condos (21)
- Price per sq ft: $1,237 for houses (from $1,079) and $1,377 for condos (from $944, only 8 sales)
- New house listings and contracts: 68 new listings (64 a year earlier) and 58 houses under contract (45)
- New condo listings and contracts: 16 new listings (11 a year earlier) and 13 condos under contract (9)
October on its own: 29 houses sold, with a median price of $2,250,000, 12 days to contract and a typical sale at 147% of list price, and 6 condos sold, with a median of $1,475,000. A single month is a small number of sales, so we lean on the 12-month and three-month views.
How do the Outer, Central and Inner Sunset compare?
The Inner Sunset costs the most per square foot and sells the fastest, the Central Sunset has the most sales, and the Outer Sunset has the lowest price. The table groups house sales by the area name in the MLS. The 12-month median house price was $2.275 million in the Inner Sunset, $2.0 million in the Central Sunset and $1.78 million in the Outer Sunset. Houses sold above asking about nine times in ten in every area.
Area | Closed sales | Median sale price | Change in median price | Median price per sq ft | Median days to contract | Sold above asking |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Inner Sunset houses | 37 | $2,275,000 | +13% | $1,346 | 8 | 89% |
Central Sunset houses | 111 | $2,000,000 | +26% | $1,139 | 12 | 89% |
Outer Sunset houses | 66 | $1,780,000 | +16% | $1,210 | 11 | 91% |
Central Sunset houses made the largest gain, and the Inner Sunset moved the most per square foot. The median Central Sunset house price rose 26% ($1.59 million to $2.0 million), a gain the data supports. In the Outer Sunset, it rose 16% ($1.538 million to $1.78 million), and that also holds up. In the Inner Sunset, the median rose 13%, but with 37 sales the range of plausible changes runs from about 13% lower to 57% higher, so we'd rather use price per square foot there, which rose 28% ($1,054 to $1,346). Price per square foot rose about 8% in the Central Sunset ($1,050 to $1,139) and 10% in the Outer Sunset ($1,104 to $1,210).
The Outer Sunset's median price is the lowest, but its price per square foot is higher than the Central Sunset's, which points to smaller typical homes there rather than cheaper space. Condos are different: 24 of the district's 26 condo sales in the last 12 months were in the Inner Sunset, so the condo figures below describe that area. At month-end, 3 houses were on the market in the Inner Sunset, 7 in the Central Sunset and 2 in the Outer Sunset.
What changed in the Sunset District single-family market?
Prices rose, and the data supports the increase. Over 12 months, the median house sale price rose 25%, from $1.6 million to $2.0 million, and it could plausibly sit anywhere from about 17% to 31% higher. Price per square foot rose 11% ($1,068 to $1,186), with a plausible range of about 6% to 16%. Over the last six months, the median price was up about 31%. With 214 sales in the last 12 months, we're comfortable calling this a real move.
Competition was already high, and it stayed there. The share of houses sold above asking went from 89% to 90%, which is too small a change to call a trend, and median days to contract went from 12 to 11. Sunset houses were already selling fast and over the asking price, and the typical house closed at 135% of list price, up from 122%. The change is in how much buyers paid, not in whether they had to compete.
The gains show up across house types, and the oldest houses moved the most. Price per square foot for three-bedroom houses rose about 13% ($1,045 to $1,182, with 73 sales before and 91 now). Houses built after 1915, which are most of the sales (186 with square footage on record), rose about 9% ($1,073 to $1,167). Houses built in 1915 or earlier rose about 38% ($1,050 to $1,451), but that is 16 and 17 sales, so we'd treat it as a sign of where buyers are paying up, not a precise figure. Two-bedroom houses rose about 7%, and with 69 and 48 sales that could just reflect which homes happened to sell.
House competition is about the same at every price. Houses sold above asking 81% of the time under $1.65 million (53 sales), 91% from $1.65 million to $2 million (53 sales), 93% from $2 million to $2.5 million (55 sales) and 94% above $2.5 million (53 sales), where the share was 82% a year earlier. Median days to contract was between 10 and 12 in every tier. The cheapest tier is the only one where a buyer had a better chance of paying at or under asking, and even there four in five houses sold above it.
Supply is keeping up, but not loosening. From August through October 2026, 68 new house listings came to market against 64 in the same months of 2025, while 58 houses went under contract against 45. At the end of the export window, 10 houses were on the market (9 active and 1 contingent), 6 of them new in the last two weeks, none listed 60 days or more and none with a price cut. Houses that resold after being held at least a year (65 of them) gained a median of 52% over about 5.2 years, and 95% of them sold for more than the previous price.
What changed in the Sunset District condo market?
Condos went from negotiable to competitive. The share sold above asking rose 41 points, from 43% to 85%, with a plausible range of 19 to 63 points. Median days to contract fell from 22.5 to 12, with a plausible range of about 1 to 22 days faster. The typical condo closed at 113% of list price, up from 100%, and none of the 26 sales needed a price cut, against 3 of 30 a year earlier. In August through October, all 9 condos sold above asking, against 3 of 6 a year earlier.
Price per square foot is the clearest price signal. It rose about 16% over 12 months ($941 to $1,091), and about 24% when we hold last year's bedroom mix fixed, which is a gain the data supports. The median sale price rose about 19%, from $1.271 million to $1.5125 million, but with only 26 sales it could plausibly sit anywhere from 6% lower to 44% higher, because the median can swing with which condos happened to sell. Condos that resold after being held at least a year (13 of them) gained a median of 24% over about 7.5 years, a much slower pace than houses. We can't say more about condo sub-groups, since no bedroom or age group has enough sales.
At month end, 2 condos were on the market, and one was listed at $1.55 million. Months of supply for condos was about 0.7.
Is the Sunset District a buyer's or seller's market?
Right now it's a seller's market for both property types. Months of supply, meaning how long current listings would last at the recent sales pace, was about 0.7 for Sunset District houses and 0.7 for condos in October 2026 (based on the average of the last three months of sales). At month end, 12 houses and 2 condos were on the market. We count active and contingent listings as inventory. Under 3 months is a seller's market, 3 to 6 is balanced, and over 6 is a buyer's market.
Houses have been a seller's market in 59 of the last 60 months and balanced in the other one, and never a buyer's market. Condos were a seller's market in 46 of the last 60 months and balanced in the other 14, never a buyer's market. In both, buyers have not had the upper hand at any point in five years.
Sunset District house prices
Sunset District condo prices
Are Sunset District prices at a record?
Yes, within the 10 years we track, for both houses and condos, but after inflation the picture differs. The 12-month median house price of $2.0 million is the highest in our window: 63% above October 2016 ($1.23 million), about 5.0% a year, and 29% above the 10-year average of $1.55 million. After San Francisco-area inflation, which was about 38% over the same period, that is roughly an 18% gain. It is 18% above five years ago ($1.7 million), and price per square foot is up 46% over the decade, from $815 to $1,186.
The 12-month median condo price of $1.5125 million is also the highest in our window: 41% above October 2016 ($1.07 million), about 3.5% a year, and 19% above the 10-year average. After inflation, the condo gain is about 2%, which means condo prices have barely moved in real terms over the decade. The condo median fell to $1.2 million in November 2023 and has since risen 26%.
What does this mean for Sunset District buyers and sellers?
If you're buying a Sunset District house
Our recommendation is to be ready to offer before you tour, because 90% of houses sold above asking and competition was similar at almost every price level. Our buying process walks through each step.
- Plan for little negotiating room. Only 2% of houses sold after a price cut, and above-asking sales ranged from 91% to 94% in the three upper price tiers. The typical house sold for 135% of its list price.
- Expect a thin selection. There were 10 houses on the market at the end of October, 6 of them new in the last two weeks.
- Talk to a lender about rate locks and buydowns now. Freddie Mac's 30-year fixed average was 7.24% on October 29, 2026, up from 6.17% a year earlier.
- Choose your area deliberately. The median house cost $2.275 million in the Inner Sunset, $2.0 million in the Central Sunset and $1.78 million in the Outer Sunset. If you want to compare across Golden Gate Park, our Richmond District neighborhood guide covers the area to the north.
If you're buying a Sunset District condo
Our recommendation is to get pre-approved and set your maximum offer before you tour, because 85% of condos sold above asking and the typical one went under contract in 12 days.
- Expect to compete. A year ago a condo buyer could often negotiate, as only 43% sold above asking. Now 22 of 26 did, and none needed a price cut.
- Look in the Inner Sunset. 24 of the 26 condo sales were there, and listings are rare: 2 condos were on the market at month end.
If you're selling in the Sunset District
The goal is to launch fully prepared at a price grounded in current sales, not last year's. Our selling process covers preparation and timing, and you can start with a free home valuation.
- Price from current comps. Our recommendation is to price from recent sales, not last year's, because houses that sold from August through October 2026 had a median of $1,237 per square foot, versus $1,079 a year earlier. Median price can swing with the mix of homes sold, so we compare on price per square foot, and by area, since the Inner Sunset's median house price is about 28% above the Outer Sunset's.
- Choose your launch date deliberately. Our guide to the best time to sell a home in San Francisco shows how the calendar affects timing, so you can plan the preparation work backward from it.
- Prepare before you list. With a median of 11 days to contract for houses and 12 for condos, buyers decide fast, so photos, disclosures and pre-inspections should be done before launch.
What should you watch in the Sunset District market this winter?
Here's the line between what we've measured and what we haven't. For houses, the rise in price and price per square foot is supported by the numbers. For condos, faster days to contract, more above-asking sales and higher price per square foot (with bedroom mix held fixed) are. The change in median condo price, in house days to contract, in the share of houses sold above asking, and in the smaller groups could simply reflect which homes happened to sell.
What we haven't measured is how 7.24% mortgage rates will affect buyers. Sales close weeks after a contract is signed, so October's closings mostly reflect offers made earlier. November and December closings will be the first to show whether buyers respond. We're watching three things:
- Homes going under contract (the leading indicator). 58 houses and 13 condos went under contract from August through October, compared with 45 and 9 a year earlier. A fall in contracts would be the first sign of a slowdown.
- New listings versus inventory. New listings were 68 for houses and 16 for condos, against 64 and 11 a year earlier, and 12 houses and 2 condos were on the market at the end of October. More listings would loosen supply.
- Sale-to-list ratio. The typical house sold for 135% of its list price over 12 months, up from 122%, and the typical condo for 113%, up from 100%. A fall toward 100% would signal buyers pushing back.
Thinking about a move this winter? Let's look at the data for your home, not the neighborhood headline. Contact our team and we'll send you a short read on your property. You can also browse all of our Bay Area market updates, or visit Kinoko Real Estate to see how we work. For a neighborhood overview, start with our Sunset District neighborhood guide.
Sunset District real estate market FAQ
How much does a home cost in the Sunset District?
In the 12 months through October 2026, the median Sunset District single-family house sold for $2.0 million, or $1,186 per square foot, across 214 sales. The median condo sold for $1.5125 million, or $1,091 per square foot, across 26 sales. Source: Kinoko analysis of SFAR MLS data.
How much do houses cost in the Outer, Central and Inner Sunset?
Over the same 12 months, the median house sold for $1.78 million in the Outer Sunset (66 sales), $2.0 million in the Central Sunset (111) and $2.275 million in the Inner Sunset (37). The Inner Sunset was highest per square foot at $1,346, and almost all Sunset condo sales (24 of 26) were in the Inner Sunset.
Do Sunset District homes sell above asking price?
Yes. From November 2025 through October 2026, 90% of Sunset District houses (192 of 214) sold above asking price, about the same as the year before, and 85% of condos (22 of 26) did, up from 43%. In August through October 2026, 98% of houses sold above asking.
Is the Sunset District a buyer's or seller's market?
It's a seller's market for both. In October 2026, Sunset District houses had about 0.7 months of supply and condos had about 0.7, both under 3 months. Houses were a seller's market in 59 of the last 60 months, while condos were balanced in 14 of them, so the condo shift is more recent.
Sources
- Kinoko Real Estate analysis of San Francisco Association of Realtors (SFAR) MLS data, Sunset District single-family homes and condominiums (Outer, Central and Inner Sunset), through October 31, 2026. Retrieved November 4, 2026.
- Freddie Mac, "Mortgage Rates" (Primary Mortgage Market Survey, 30-year fixed average of 7.24% on October 29, 2026, 7.32% the prior week and 6.17% a year earlier), freddiemac.com/pmms. Retrieved November 4, 2026.
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward" (series CUURS49BSA0), data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUURS49BSA0. Retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Kinoko Real Estate, "San Francisco Housing Market Update: Prices and Trends", kinokorealestate.com/blog/san-francisco-real-estate-market-update. Retrieved November 4, 2026.
Kevin Gueco | CA DRE #01461677